interesting things
While the public’s increase in support for same-sex marriage has been exceptionally linear and steady, the number of senators endorsing it has increased at exponential rates. Can this be explained in a mathematical model?
via FiveThirtyEight http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04/04/explaining-the-senates-surge-in-support-for-same-sex-marriage/
In September 2011, when Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey was considering making a last-minute entry into the presidential race, many conservatives cheered the possibility. Roughly 18 months later, the attitude toward Mr. Christie has changed.
via NYT > Most Recent Headlines http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/02/27/christies-honeymoon-with-conservatives-is-over/
One proposal being floated as an alternative to raising the top marginal rate would place its heaviest tax burden on the somewhat wealthy as opposed to the very wealthy.
via NYT > Most Recent Headlines http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/26/congressional-proposal-could-create-bubble-in-tax-code/
Mitt Romney gained further ground in the FiveThirtyEight forecast on Monday, but much of the increase was because of a single poll.
via NYT > Most Recent Headlines http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/09/oct-8-a-great-poll-for-romney-in-perspective/
Some Republicans complain of a tilt toward Obama in the polls. But in elections past, the forecasts have overestimated on both sides.
via NYT > Most Recent Headlines http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/01/us/last-10-presidential-elections-show-no-consistent-bias-in-polls.html
Some of Mitt Romney’s potential running mates are far more likely to help him win their home states than others. But how often would that change the Electoral College total in November?
via FiveThirtyEight http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/08/how-romneys-pick-of-a-running-mate-could-sway-the-outcome/
President Obama’s average lead in our top 10 “tipping point” states is larger than his average lead in national polls.
via NYT > Most Recent Headlines http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/07/24/state-and-national-polls-tell-different-tales-about-state-of-campaign/
There’s still not much evidence that the Bain attacks have hurt Mitt Romney’s standing with voters. But the Romney campaign’s response could change that.
via NYT > Most Recent Headlines http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/07/17/is-romney-overreacting-to-bain-attacks/