{"id":1692,"date":"2012-11-26T08:40:17","date_gmt":"2012-11-26T13:40:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/?p=1692"},"modified":"2012-11-26T08:40:18","modified_gmt":"2012-11-26T13:40:18","slug":"how-to-make-a-fiscal-deal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/2012\/11\/26\/how-to-make-a-fiscal-deal\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Make a Fiscal Deal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2012-11-20\/how-to-end-the-great-fiscal-wars.html\">my suggestion<\/a>:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The two sides should agree at once to restore the pre-Bush tax rates for couples making more than $1 million a year &#8212; pending a comprehensive tax reform that raises revenue mainly by capping deductions. Under this formula, each side gains something and loses something.<\/p>\n<p>Democrats gain a more progressive tax code, but give ground on higher rates for couples making between $250,000 and $1 million. Republicans limit the scope of higher marginal rates and get the commitment to the base-broadening approach they say they favor, but concede higher rates right now for the very rich.<\/p>\n<p>On public spending, neither side wants sequestration. The immediate fix is simply to lift the threat of it. The forward- looking commitment should abolish the recurring calamity of the debt-ceiling procedure &#8212; and, ideally, set an adjustable cap on federal spending as a share of gross domestic product. What that number should be, how to adjust it according to demographic or other circumstances, and what to do if it&#8217;s breached would have to be argued &#8212; strenuously, no doubt &#8212; next year.<\/p>\n<p>The issue couldn&#8217;t, and shouldn&#8217;t, be settled once and for all. Mere convergence on the principle would be a notable, confidence-boosting achievement. In effect, it would be a promise to limit the scope of the fiscal wars &#8212; a commitment to moderation.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The main thing is to avoid starting down the fiscal slope, and to do this in a way that persuades onlookers that the impasse really has been broken rather than just prolonged into the first part of next year. There&#8217;s no time for a worked-out grand bargain before December 31 &#8212; but there&#8217;s time for an exchange of concessions that says a grand bargain is finally on the way. A temporary fix that allows both sides to say they haven&#8217;t given ground falls short, because that&#8217;s a commitment to more of the same.<\/p>\n<p>The CRFB has some detailed analysis of the <a href=\"http:\/\/crfb.org\/sites\/default\/files\/Raising_Revenue_from_Higher_Earners_11_15-2_1.pdf\">options for capping deductions<\/a>: how to get more revenue and greater progressivity without raising rates. This should be part of the longer-term solution even if the details can&#8217;t be settled in time for the short-term fix. <\/p>\n<p>Could Obama agree to something less than restoring tax rates to their 2000 levels for incomes above $250,000, having promised so often not to give way on this again? Most of the country, I think, would be impressed if he did what I&#8217;m suggesting and proposed a higher threshold. And that would make it hard for the Republicans to say no. There must be a limit to how unreasonable they are willing to seem. <\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m unsure what the Democratic base would say, though. Some might declare victory; others might be inconsolable &#8212; another humiliating and unnecessary climbdown. If I were Obama, I wouldn&#8217;t care one way or the other. His days of needing those votes are over. In due course we&#8217;ll see how much his election victory has weakened the GOP in Congress as compared with 2011-12, but it&#8217;s not too soon to say this: Obama can disappoint the left of his party now as much as he likes. <\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/Theatlantic.feedsportal.com\/c\/34375\/f\/625835\/s\/25d23beb\/mf.gif?resize=1%2C1\" border=\"0\"><\/p>\n<div>\n<table border=\"0\">\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"middle\"><a href=\"http:\/\/share.feedsportal.com\/viral\/sendEmail.cfm?lang=en&amp;title=How+to+Make+a+Fiscal+Deal&amp;link=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.theatlantic.com%2Fpolitics%2Farchive%2F2012%2F11%2Fhow-to-make-a-fiscal-deal%2F265532%2F\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/res3.feedsportal.com\/images\/emailthis2.gif?w=525\" border=\"0\"><\/a><\/td>\n<td valign=\"middle\"><a href=\"http:\/\/res.feedsportal.com\/viral\/bookmark.cfm?title=How+to+Make+a+Fiscal+Deal&amp;link=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.theatlantic.com%2Fpolitics%2Farchive%2F2012%2F11%2Fhow-to-make-a-fiscal-deal%2F265532%2F\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/res3.feedsportal.com\/images\/bookmark.gif?w=525\" border=\"0\"><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/da.feedsportal.com\/r\/151029336774\/u\/49\/f\/625835\/c\/34375\/s\/25d23beb\/a2.htm\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/da.feedsportal.com\/r\/151029336774\/u\/49\/f\/625835\/c\/34375\/s\/25d23beb\/a2.img\" border=\"0\"><\/a><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" src=\"http:\/\/pi.feedsportal.com\/r\/151029336774\/u\/49\/f\/625835\/c\/34375\/s\/25d23beb\/a2t.img\" border=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/AtlanticPoliticsChannel\/~4\/Wn3JVg_f9cc\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"><\/p>\n<p>via Politics : The Atlantic <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/politics\/archive\/2012\/11\/how-to-make-a-fiscal-deal\/265532\/\">http:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/politics\/archive\/2012\/11\/how-to-make-a-fiscal-deal\/265532\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s my suggestion: The two sides should agree at once to restore the pre-Bush tax rates for couples making more than $1 million a year &#8212; pending a comprehensive tax reform that raises revenue mainly by capping deductions. Under this formula, each side gains something and loses something. Democrats gain a more progressive tax code, &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/2012\/11\/26\/how-to-make-a-fiscal-deal\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;How to Make a Fiscal Deal&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[7],"tags":[766,6,322],"class_list":["post-1692","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-google-reader","tag-clive-crook","tag-ifttt","tag-politics-the-atlantic"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p2skW4-ri","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1692","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1692"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1692\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1692"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1692"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/gabrielsnyder.com\/notes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1692"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}